{"id":1199,"date":"2014-12-04T15:31:52","date_gmt":"2014-12-04T22:31:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sparetimeuniversity.com\/?p=1199"},"modified":"2014-12-06T21:53:26","modified_gmt":"2014-12-07T04:53:26","slug":"lessons-learned-about-lessons-learned-about-forecasting-el-nin%cc%83o-and-its-impacts-shades-of-chaos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sparetimeuniversity.com\/?p=1199","title":{"rendered":"Lessons learned about lessons learned about forecasting El Nin\u0303o and its impacts: Shades of Chaos"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Should forecasting El Nino\u2019s onset be distinguished from forecasting its post-onset locked-in phase? If an El Nino occurs in December 2014, is it the same one forecast earlier in 2014? Should the forecast of El Nino\u2019s onset be considered experimental? Should the post-onset forecasts be considered operational?  To what extent do the various oscillations impact the forecasting of El Nino\u2019s onset and teleconnections? <\/p>\n<p>For more information, <a href=\"https:\/\/sparetimeuniversity.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/guaya-ppt-14nov2014draft-dbox.pdf\">please see the slide in English<\/a> or <a href=\"https:\/\/sparetimeuniversity.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/guaya-ppt-14nov2014draft-dbox-ESPAN\u00deOL.pdf\"> see this slide in Spanish<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Should forecasting El Nino\u2019s onset be distinguished from forecasting its post-onset locked-in phase? If an El Nino occurs in December 2014, is it the same one forecast earlier in 2014? Should the forecast of El Nino\u2019s onset be considered experimental? Should the post-onset forecasts be considered operational? To what extent do the various oscillations impact [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1199","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-assorted"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sparetimeuniversity.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1199","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sparetimeuniversity.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sparetimeuniversity.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sparetimeuniversity.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sparetimeuniversity.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1199"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/sparetimeuniversity.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1199\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1206,"href":"https:\/\/sparetimeuniversity.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1199\/revisions\/1206"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sparetimeuniversity.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1199"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sparetimeuniversity.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1199"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sparetimeuniversity.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1199"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}